Lead Stories
How rigged are the markets? Libor, ISDAfix, and now the oil price…
QFinance
It seems that news about the fixing of trillion dollar markets is becoming, well, rather routine. First there was Libor, then there was the announcement that the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CTFC) was investigating the possible rigging of the interest rate swap rate, another market in the hundreds of trillions.
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Treasuries Advance After Fed Officials Back Bond-Buying Stimulus
Bloomberg News
Treasuries rose for the first time in three days as comments from Federal Reserve officials added to speculation Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will emphasize the need to sustain stimulus when he speaks before Congress tomorrow.
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Bund Yields Rise to 9-Week High as Bundesbank Sees Faster Growth
Bloomberg News
German government bonds fell, pushing 10-year yields to the highest level in nine weeks, after the Bundesbank said the economy will improve “markedly” this quarter, damping demand for the region’s safest securities.
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World stocks hit records as US Treasuries rise
The Age
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index returned to a record as a Federal Reserve official said bond purchases should continue and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. forecast the stock rally will last at least through 2015. Treasuries rose and the yen pared earlier losses while grains and gold fell.
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Low Rates Can Raise Risks at Canadian Banks, Dickson Says
BloombergBusinessweek
Julie Dickson, Canada’s banking regulator, said the current period of low interest rates threatens to increase risks for the country’s lenders and that it has become an issue she’s closely monitoring.
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Dudley Says He Can’t Be Sure If Next QE Move Is ‘Up or Down’
Bloomberg
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William C. Dudley said he has not decided whether the Fed’s next move should be to enlarge or shrink its bond buying program as he called for a fresh look at its eventual retreat from record asset purchases.
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Fed’s Bullard Opposes Pulling Back on Federal Reserve Bond Purchases
The Wall Street Journal
There is no case yet for tapering the U.S. Federal Reserve’s current quantitative easing program until inflation picks up, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Tuesday.
http://jlne.ws/14Ozs5P
Agency MBS: most thankful for the Fed’s dovish sentiment?
MarketWatch
U.S. markets spazzed with toddler-like glee when Fed officials gave remarks Tuesday indicating commitment to current monetary policies. But although equities and Treasurys gained on the statements of central bankers, the agency mortgage-backed security market may have gotten the biggest sugar high.
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Economic News
Pound Slides to Six-Week Low Versus Dollar as Inflation Slows
Bloomberg News
The pound slid to a six-week low against the dollar after a government report showed inflation slowed more than economists forecast, giving the central bank more room to boost stimulus that tends to weaken a currency.
http://jlne.ws/192ggoG
Regulators
CFTC Said Preparing ISDAfix Probe Talks in Weeks: Credit Markets
Bloomberg News
Commodity Futures Trading Commission investigators are poring over 1 million e-mails and instant messages as part of their price-manipulation probe of a swaps benchmark that helps determine interest rates on everything from annuities to bonds linked to skyscrapers.
http://jlne.ws/10hc2X9
CFTC To Investigate Whether Benchmark Was Rigged
May 21, 2013 • Bloomberg News
Commodity Futures Trading Commission investigators are poring over 1 million e-mails and instant messages as part of their price-manipulation probe of a swaps benchmark that helps determine interest rates on everything from annuities to bonds linked to skyscrapers.
http://jlne.ws/14uNgDa
Global News
European share rally stalls on doubts about Fed support
Reuters
European shares fell from multi-year highs on Tuesday on concerns the U.S. central bank could call an earlier-than-expected halt to the stimulus programme that had underpinned demand for stocks.
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Investors price out Greek default as curve normalises
Reuters
Greek 10-year bond yields fell below longer-dated ones on Tuesday for the first time in three years as investors priced out the risk of Athens defaulting.
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China’s Interest-Rate Challenge
Project Syndicate
China’s successful transformation from a middle-income country to a modern, high-income country will depend largely on the reforms that the government undertakes over the next decade. Financial reforms should top the agenda, beginning with interest-rate liberalization. But liberalizing interest rates carries both risks and rewards, and will create both winners and losers, so policymakers must be prudent in their approach.
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Aso asks BOJ to communicate with market as interest rates volatile
GlobalPost
Finance Minister Taro Aso on Tuesday asked Bank of Japan chief Haruhiko Kuroda to continue communicating with the market as concern is growing that a possible further spike in the country’s long-term interest rates may have an adverse effect on the economy.
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Brazil cenbank keeps hawkish tone ahead of rate decision
May 21 (Reuters) – Brazil’s central bank chief Alexandre Tombini said on Tuesday that policymakers will do whatever is necessary to bring down inflation, maintaining a hawkish tone ahead of next week’s monetary policy decision.
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CMA plans a futures and options market segment at NSE
The Star
The Capital Markets Authority will invite and start receiving applications for futures exchanges from August if the regulations are gazetted by then.
It has published, for public comment, the first set of draft regulation on licensing requirements. The three draft regulations will be necessary for establishing a derivatives and futures exchange in the country. The other regulations will be on futures contracts and futures market intermediaries.
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Stock futures steady ahead of Fed speakers
MADRID (MarketWatch) — U.S. stock futures were little changed on Tuesday with investors expected to look for more clues on any tapering of the Federal Reserve’s easing program. Two Fed presidents with voting rights on the interest-rate-setting committee are due to hit the tape.
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